Polls Show Clinton and Trump in a Dead Heat Why So Close?

Thursday, September 08, 2016 Written by 
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With nine weeks to go until the big election, all eyes are turning toward Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump.  It’s shaping up to be a dirty fight to the finish between 2 very different candidates—each calling the other bigoted, unfit and shady.


On Wednesday a CNN poll showed Trump 2 points ahead of Clinton—a surprising finding given the incendiary tone of Trump’s campaign.  Trump tops Clinton 45% to 43% in the new survey, with Libertarian Gary Johnson standing at 7% among likely voters in this poll and the Green Party's Jill Stein at just 2%.


With Clinton more heavily favored among Hispanics, African Americans and other people of color; women, younger voters and college-educated whites, why is her opponent pulling ahead?


Clinton enjoyed a 7 percent bump in the polls following the Democratic National Convention in July.  


Efforts to win favor among top Hispanic leaders proved futile when Trump doubled down on his promise to deport “millions” of illegal immigrants during a speech in Arizona.  This was after Trump previously said he was “softening” his stance.  Many Hispanic leaders withdrew their support.  


By Veronica Mackey


Another Trump scandal broke on Monday when it was revealed that Trump donated $25,000 to the campaign to elect Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi in 2013. Just 4 days later, her office decided not to move forward on allegations of fraud at Trump University.  The case has raised eyebrows among Democrats, and suggests Trump paid Bondi to dismiss his case.


Despite Trump’s outlandish statements, inconsistencies, and questionable business and financial tactics, he is gaining ground in what pundits predicted last year should have been a relatively easy win for Clinton.  


While the Democratic nominee is perceived as more experienced and emotionally stable, she continues to be tagged as untrustworthy.  Clinton was cleared of all wrongdoing in an FBI investigation of her handling of emails on her private server as secretary of state.  But now new allegations have surfaced that thousands of emails were deleted by a staffer after Clinton was subpoenaed.  She denies any wrongdoing.  


Then, there is the problem of the Clinton Foundation, which links Hillary and Bill Clinton to foreign donors and potential conflicts of interest. 


Clinton has been hard at work, touring around the country and outlining plans for her presidency, but her long absence of press conferences has added to the public view that she is not transparent.  Her absence has created a media vacuum.  Trump, by contrast, is hogging the spotlight every day for better or worse.


Currently, Clinton continues to lead Trump in key battle ground states.  NBC News said Trump has zero support by African Americans in Ohio and Pennsylvania.  


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